Tuesday, January 14, 2020

US coal power stations closing at near record rate

From Reuters (hat tip to IEEFA):


U.S. coal-fired power plants shut down at the second-fastest pace on record in 2019, despite President Donald Trump’s efforts to prop up the industry, according to data from the federal government and Thomson Reuters.

Power companies retired or converted roughly 15,100 megawatts (MW) of coal-fired electricity generation, enough to power about 15 million homes, according to the data, which included preliminary statistics from the Energy Information Administration and Reuters reporting.

That was second only to the record 19,300 MW shut in 2015 during President Barack Obama’s administration.

The replacement of coal with power generation from natural gas and renewables has cut total U.S. carbon emissions in four of the past five years. Gas emits about half the carbon dioxide, a leading contributor to global warming, as coal [does]. [However, methane is 86 times as potent a greenhouse gas as CO2 over 20 years, so this is only true if leaks are properly accounted for.]

The coal industry has been in steep decline for a decade due to competition from cheap and abundant gas and subsidized solar and wind energy, along with rising public concern over coal’s contribution to climate change.

Trump has downplayed climate change threats and sought to revive the coal industry to fulfill pledges to voters in coal mining states like West Virginia and Wyoming, mainly by rolling back Obama-era environmental protections.

Still, since entering office in 2017, an estimated 39,000 MW of coal-fired power plant capacity has shut.

If that trend continues, more coal plants will have shut during the first four years (2017-2020) of the Trump administration - an estimated 46,600 MW - than during Obama’s second term (2013-2016) - around 43,100 MW.


Source: Reuters
I suspect the forecast declines are too low.  F'casts have repeatedly underestimated the growth of renewables.


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