From Professor Ray Wills
When these countries decided to swap to electric vehicles, they just did And it doesn't seem to take long They won't be having much of a crisis of oil (still some, just not as much as the rest of us) Graphs by @leraffl.bsky.social leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
As ever, S-curves initially turn up (or down!) very slowly. Progress looks so s-l-o-w. Then, wham! ICEV sales fall from to from 80% to 20% in an average of five years. Notice in the charts how PHEVs initially rise, because consumers have range anxiety, but that quickly disappears as rising EV sales lead to rising numbers of charger sites, while the cost of two engines becomes unacceptable.
Anecdotal reports suggest huge jumps in EV sales as a result of the current oil crisis.
(The two Bluesky accounts are:
https://bsky.app/profile/profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
and
https://bsky.app/profile/leraffl.bsky.social)
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