I've updated my composite index of private sector data sources. They now are (equal weights):
- The whole-economy ISM index
- The whole-economy PMI index
- The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index
- The Conference Board's consumer confidence index
- The LMI logistics index
- ADP's monthly job change
- Challenger's monthly job losses
- "Jobs easy to fill", from the NFIB survey (data only through September; October values out this week)
- "Jobs are plentiful" from the Conference Board survey
It looks more bearish than my previous index. In fact, it looks terrible.
[Here is my first piece about my private sector data index]
For the data nerds among you, here's the chart of the index before and after extreme-adjustment:
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