Most indicators are pointing down, but a couple are rising. The average of the Empire State and Philly Fed indicators is trending up after falling since the beginning of the year (Trump's tariff pagaille). It's true, this only covers the NE United States, so isn't definitive. However, it fits well with the average of the two national surveys by the ISM (Institute of Supply Management) and the PMI (Purchasing managers' index, from S&P Global):
We'll see.
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