However, even though they're clearly peaking in Italy and Spain, and prolly close to peaking in Germany and France, the rate at which new cases is declining is not nearly as fast as in Korea or China. However, it took nearly 4 weeks after total lockdown for cases to plunge in China, so they may yet do the same in Europe countries.
The USA is outstandingly bad. The only way to slow new cases there would be by a total lockdown and extensive testing and isolation, and the administration clearly will not do the former and is too inept to organise the latter. Assuming a doubling every 3 days, we could be looking at 100,000 new cases a day within a week. Given how expensive the US health system is, and how poor people are closed out of it, it's hard not to see the death rate rising even faster.
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