Thursday, November 30, 2017

Renewables highest ever in India

A few days ago, I posted that India's coal demand is likely to peak soon

In Q3 renewables reached a new high in absolute and percentage terms:

Souirce: CleanTechnica

The numbers do not include large-scale hydro, which makes up another 10% of electricity generation.  Although the percentage from renewables is rising, it's rising slowly, by about a percentage point per year.  This is better than it sounds, because electricity demand is rising by 5.8% per annum. A rising percentage of a total which is itself rising fast, is an achievement. 

Source: CleanTechnica
In the first 3 quarters of this year. 75% of new generation capacity was carbon-free, 25% thermal.  Since capacity factors for each generation type are different, this doesn't necessarily mean that 75% of new generation output was from carbon-free sources. I estimate (based on usual capacity factors) that 65% of new output came from renewables/nuclear/big hydro.  (But I might be understating it as some coal power stations were closed.)  So still impressive.

However, we need to move to the position where 100% of new generating capacity is carbon-free.  I think India will get there over the next 5 years.  At that point, emissions from electricity generation will have peaked. 

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