Wednesday, February 12, 2025

Red States' death rates

From Dr James H Gundlach 






Each dot shows the percent change in the death rate of people of a single year age in states voting Democratic and Republican [between 1999 and 2023]

Infant deaths in Dem states declined almost twice as much as in Rep states. From age 17 to 30 it was terrible.  The change from age 17 to age 30 amounted to a fair declining in death [rates] to about a 35 percent increase. And there is no real difference between the lines for Democratic and Republican voting states.

Then both lines of dots head down showing less of an increase, until they cross the zero line in the middle to declining. The Democratic states start doing better at age 45 and Republican states take about ten more years to make this shift. From here both lines continue to move into larger declining death rates every year but the Democratic voting state keep going down more. 

Then around age 75 both lines of dots finally begin to look normal, at very old ages the declining death rates decline less each year but the Democratic voting states are experiencing much stronger declines than the Republican voting states. The Democrats max out at a -53% and the Republicans are behind with a -32% at age 76. 

In the United States, we have three major patterns in paying for health care. The young are primarily covered by private insurance, with most of the uninsured covered by state governments. The middle-aged are dominated by capitalist health insurance with large co-pays and a high percent uninsured. The very ill aged 55-64 can move to Medicare early in most states. After age 64 almost all qualify for Medicare and the capitalist clone Medicaid. That final upward slope in both lines shows the normal effect of growing very old, The abnormality here is the line for the elderly in Republican voting is still above the line [i.e., worse]for Democratic voting states. 

The United States pays the most of any country for health care but our CIA World Fact Book ranks us 49th in life expectancy.  Canada spends close to half as much for health care as we do and they are ranked 7th.


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