Disclaimer

Disclaimer. After nearly 40 years managing money for some of the largest life offices and investment managers in the world, I think I have something to offer. These days I'm retired, and I can't by law give you advice. I do make mistakes, but I try hard to do my analysis thoroughly, and to make sure my data are correct. Remember: the unexpected sometimes happens. The expected does too, but all too often it takes longer than you thought it would.

The Goddess of Markets punishes (eventually) greed, folly, laziness and arrogance. No matter how many years you've served Her. Take care. Be humble. And don't blame me.

BTW, clicking on most charts will produce the original-sized, i.e., bigger version.

Thursday, February 23, 2012

Iceland's way



When the GFC hit Iceland, the authorities at first attempted to do the orthodox (but not necessarily  the right) thing.   They proposed a massive austerity program.  The president of Iceland refused to sign the laws into effect.  The people supported him.  The government fell, and Iceland defaulted on its debts.

And guess what?  Iceland's recovering.

One beneficial factor that Iceland had which Greece, Ireland etc don't, is that it had its own currency, the krona, which was allowed to devalue.  But it's such an open economy and so small that that won't have had any major impact.




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