Solar and wind replacing the Hormuz gap

 From This is Not Cool

This seems like Good news.

Center for Research on Energy and Clean Air:

Global power generation from fossil fuels fell in the first month since the start of the Hormuz closure, with the fall in gas-fired generation offset by large increases in solar and wind power, rather than coal.

The power generation dataset prepared for this analysis covers countries that disclose near-real-time data. The dataset covers 87% of global coal power generation and over 60% of gas-fired power generation.

Total power generation from fossil fuels in countries with near-real-time data fell 1% year-on-year, with coal-fired generation flat and gas-fired generation falling 4%. The dataset covers the world’s largest power markets: China, the U.S., the EU, and India, among others.

Seaborne coal transport volumes fell 3%, to the lowest levels since 2021. The data contradicts widespread expectations that coal power generation would rise in response to the crisis.

This is the first oil crisis where we *have* alternatives.  We can replace imported gas with wind, solar and storage.  We can replace petrol and diesel vehicles with EVs.  What's more, *everybody* knows it.  Governments, companies, individuals.  

Global emissions have peaked.  Oil demand has plunged, and only some of that demand is coming back, and then only in the short term.  How ironic that this is thanks to Trump.

So yes, emissions will rise again, but the next peak will be lower than this one.

(Caveat:  So-called "AI" data centres.)