I finally got around to updating my China data and indices. And, according to my China diffusion index, which leads my coinciding index by 7 months, China's economy should be stronger than it appears to be. It is however true that my China coinciding index is growing reasonably, on a month-on-month basis. Yet there are so many signs of weakness.
This is possibly because of the plunge in China's exports, now heading towards GFC lows:
And that in turn is because the world economy (or at least, the manufacturing chunk of it) is so weak:
I think I need to dig deeper. I'll get back to you. (Click on each chart to see it more clearly)
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