Saturday, December 17, 2022

US slides deeper into recession

 The "flash" estimates for US PMI indices have been released.  These are based on partial data, so will prolly be revised.  Nevertheless, the trends are obvious.  

The Fed hasn't stopped raising interest rates.  Fiscal policy isn't turning expansive, yet.  The slide is going to continue.  

I still think a deep US recession is possible, even likely.  These latest data don't change my mind.





No comments:

Post a Comment