Tuesday, June 4, 2024

US still in uptrend

The ISM manufacturing index was down for May, the PMI up.  Average up a touch, but down on March.

Do these data change my perception of how the US economy is moving?  No.  The economic recovery continues.  Monthly data always show random month-to-month fluctuations.  That's why, in this case, I combine the PMI and the ISM indices.  Often their random fluctuations offset each other, as indeed happened in May.

As always, the line to watch is the thick green one.




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