Thursday, December 6, 2018

Uruguay reaches record renewables

Why am I bothering to talk about Uruguay?  Its GDP is just 0.7% of the world's.  It can have very little influence on the world's climate.

The reason is because it's moved so rapidly from zero wind and solar to 40%.  The country has had a high percentage of hydro, but the balance was produced from oil-powered generators.  Now,  in just 4 years, electricity generated by oil has almost completely replaced by output from wind and solar, and Uruguay has gone from being a net importer of electricity to a net exporter.

From IEEFA:

Uruguay is closing in on the world leader in wind and solar power by market share, Denmark, showing how the right grid conditions can help renewables sweep aside fossil fuel-fired electricity generation.

We published a report less than a year ago noting that Uruguay was probably the world’s fastest growing variable renewables market, with wind and solar power reaching 32% of total generation in 2017 compared with 1% in 2013.

The small Latin American country is now nearing the market share of world leader Denmark. During seven of the first eight months of the year, wind and solar generation in Uruguay exceeded 40% of total generation. Denmark reached a corresponding value in six of those months.

Denmark has higher peaks of variable renewables market share, with levels in the summer having topped 70% in the past three years, but it also has deeper troughs during periods of higher electricity demand in the winter (see Figure 1 below).

In Uruguay, according to the latest available data (January through August), wind and solar  reached 43% market share, up 12 percentage points on the same period last year. Denmark has reached 49% of net generation, down two and a half percentage points as a result of a less windy year so far.

It’s no coincidence that Uruguay is managing such rapid wind and solar growth, with useful network conditions favouring the integration of variable generation.

Like Denmark, Uruguay has interconnections with larger neighbours that allow it to export wind power surpluses. Uruguay has reported annual net exports along its interconnections to Brazil and Argentina every year since its rapid renewables’ growth started in 2013. The country saw annual net exports in only three of the 10 years before 2013.

Uruguay also has a large amount of installed hydropower capacity, the perfect complement to variable renewable generation because of its flexibility.

But these are not essential conditions for variable renewables growth. Countries can increase the flexibility of their domestic generation in other ways, depending on natural resources and infrastructure. Denmark, for one, has achieved domestic flexibility by coupling national heat and power demand through a network of co-generation combined heat and power units.

[Read more here]




The simple truth of the matter is that Uruguay has gone from close to zero non-hydro renewables to over 45% in just 4 years.  And if they can do it, so could we.  If we wanted to.  There is nothing inevitable about global warming.  It's happening because we--the people of the world--are choosing not to act, and are continuing to elect politicians in the pay of fossil fuel companies.

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