Disclaimer. After nearly 40 years managing money for some of the largest life offices and investment managers in the world, I think I have something to offer. These days I'm retired, and I can't by law give you advice. While I do make mistakes, I try hard to do my analysis thoroughly, and to make sure my data are correct (old habits die hard!) Also, don't ask me why I called it "Volewica". It's too late, now.

BTW, clicking on most charts will produce the original-sized, i.e., bigger version.

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

Worst Muslim Ever

The demented acolytes of the rabid right continue to believe that  Obama is a Muslim.  Give me strength.

A presentation by James Hansen

James Hansen was one of the first people to point out the probability of global warming.  He's the author of Storms of my Grandchildren, a compelling analysis of global warming and carbon pollution.

This a presentation he made recently.  It's long, but worth every minute.  Though Hansen seems to favour it, I doubt that nuclear is the answer but on the other hand it is undoubtedly better than the "business as usual" approach.  Hansen's comments on the likely rise in the sea level are truly scary.

Friday, September 18, 2015

Hottest August ever

Or at least hottest August ever measured.  Original data here.  I've plotted the 12 month average as a better picture of the underlying reality.  Data for just one month will be more volatile than for 12 months.

Note the 1998 spike in temps.  That was an el nino year as this and next year are likely to be.  And the climate change denialists used that year to begin their "evidence" that global temperatures had stabilised.  The infamous "hiatus".  Yet any unbiased observer can see that that was an anomalous year.  Probably this year will be too, but that is little comfort.  The trend is inexorably up.